A Reliability Model for Integrated Energy System Considering Multi-energy Correlation

An integrated energy system (IES) is a regional incorporating distributed multi-energy systems to serve various demands such as electricity, heating, cooling, and gas. The reliability analysis plays key role in guaranteeing the safety adequacy of an IES. This paper aims build capacity model correlation IES can generate dependent outage states, which distinguished feature from generation system. To address this issue, presents novel analytical method states their joint probabilities for its assessment. new multi-dimen-sional matrix presented probability table (COPT) Furthermore., customized multi-dimensional discrete convolution algorithm proposed compute model, indices are calculated accurate efficient way. Case studies demonstrate correctness efficiency method. value conversion facilities also quantified by